Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.193064 0.271857 0.360746 0.466222 0.586020 0.716197 0.866807
2025-10-26 0.103335 0.204606 0.336021 0.507534 0.716548 0.956016 1.244977
2025-11-02 0.053788 0.154359 0.303132 0.512040 0.779038 1.095093 1.485828
2025-11-09 0.017005 0.099199 0.247749 0.475954 0.783172 1.159073 1.634777
2025-11-16 0.001444 0.057397 0.196451 0.433622 0.770267 1.195248 1.744479
2025-11-23 NaN 0.035902 0.169606 0.419991 0.790460 1.268989 1.896647
2025-11-30 NaN 0.025461 0.159475 0.429176 0.839886 1.378496 2.091714
2025-12-07 NaN 0.015072 0.142822 0.424496 0.867862 1.459084 2.250027
2025-12-14 NaN 0.006214 0.120503 0.405860 0.873221 1.508452 2.368028
2025-12-21 NaN 0.005098 0.125608 0.436807 0.951529 1.654342 2.607928
2025-12-28 NaN 0.004255 0.131230 0.468630 1.031197 1.802189 2.850550
2026-01-04 NaN 0.002548 0.129543 0.485811 1.088587 1.920178 3.055294
2026-01-11 NaN 0.002582 0.140670 0.530612 1.191495 2.103953 3.350005
2026-01-18 NaN 0.002038 0.146888 0.566163 1.281284 2.271423 3.625761
2026-01-25 NaN 0.000594 0.139512 0.573251 1.326811 2.378656 3.824072
2026-02-01 NaN NaN 0.111979 0.534316 1.298955 2.385039 3.892181
2026-02-08 NaN NaN 0.084945 0.489420 1.258071 2.371206 3.932341
2026-02-15 NaN NaN 0.072313 0.474845 1.264215 2.421107 4.054031
2026-02-22 NaN NaN 0.069433 0.484651 1.310449 2.527059 4.249021
2026-03-01 NaN NaN 0.061664 0.479658 1.331264 2.596892 4.396442
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.049822 0.459771 1.325493 2.628314 4.492775
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.055067 0.492783 1.411368 2.790775 4.762662
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.060610 0.526656 1.498772 2.955505 5.035682